PORT WASHINGTON, N.Y. — The NPD Group here is projecting that more people will shop online this year than last year, and that books and DVDs are declining in popularity as gifts.

The research firm last week said that its annual holiday spending survey of more than 3,600 consumers found that 38% said they expected to shop online this holiday season, vs. 35% who planned to shop online a year ago. Only 51% said they plan to shop at discount stores like Kmart, Wal-Mart and Tar

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