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U.S. sees slowdown in new grocery space

Omnichannel strategies, smaller formats have retailers rethinking expansion

Russell Redman

April 13, 2018

4 Min Read
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WendellandCarolyn/iStock/Thinkstock

Addition of new grocery square footage slowed last year as retailers scaled back store openings and smaller formats took hold, according to real estate and investment firm Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL).

In 2017, grocery store openings dropped 28.8% year over year, JLL’s 2018 U.S. Grocery Tracker study found. The decline reflects chains’ efforts to re-examine their current store footprints and fine-tune strategies to deal with new competition — both online and brick-and-mortar, the report said.

Activity varied by market area. JLL said California led the way in 2017 with 1.6 million square feet of new grocery store space. Also seeing strong growth were Virginia and North Carolina, which combined had about 2.7 million square feet of new space. And Texas was described by JLL as “still one of the hottest states for grocery expansion” with 1.2 million square feet of new space, though that total dropped from 3 million square feet in 2016.

Across the United States, California accounted for 12.2% of new grocery square footage in 2017, up from 10.8% in 2016. JLL cited Sprouts and Grocery Outlet as growth drivers, as the chains represented 47.7% of California’s openings. Both retailers aim to continue “ambitious expansion plans for 2018,” with Sprouts looking more closely at the Mid-Atlantic region and Grocery Outlet sharpening its focus on its current markets, the report said.

Virginia had 10.4% of new U.S. grocery square footage in 2017, up from 5.1% in 2016, while North Carolina’s share rose to 9.4% from 5.2%. Also seeing gains were Florida at 6% of new U.S. grocery space (4.8% in 2016), Maryland at 4% (2.4% in 2016), Pennsylvania at 3.7% (2.7% in 2016) and Illinois at 3.7% (3.2% in 2016.)

Texas’ slice of new U.S. grocery square footage shrank to 9.2% in 2017 from 16.1% in 2016, JLL reported. Other states with decreases included New Jersey, down to 3.6% from 5%, and Georgia, down to 3.3% from 4.3%.

Germany-based discount grocery chains Lidl and Aldi remain movers and shakers in the U.S. market on the expansion front, JLL noted in its study. Lidl opened its first stores in the Mid-Atlantic and expanded swiftly, edging toward New Jersey. That helped boost supermarket space in Virginia and North Carolina, which together had 19.7% of all new grocery square footage in 2017.

Yet Lidl, after rolling out nearly 50 stores last year, “may have experienced a rocky start in the U.S. and could be rethinking its real estate strategy. This is evidenced by the fact that several construction projects have been halted, and 2018 projected openings are a fraction of those the year before,” the report said, adding that the chain “will require a slower and more tailored real estate strategy going forward.”

Meanwhile, Aldi plans to invest $3.4 billion in store expansions over the next four years, which will include remodels of 400 stores to enhance the shopping experience, according to JLL. During 2017, Aldi focused its expansion on California, Virginia and Texas, “although many other communities across the U.S. also saw an Aldi open,” the report said.

Going forward, supermarkets should retain high interest as anchor tenants for shopping centers. Investment in grocery-anchored centers grew 5.3% in 2017, JLL reported.

“It was one of the only retail sectors to see growth in a year of low transaction volume,” the study said. “Grocery-anchored centers remain a safe bet for investors, as overall transaction volumes for retail have been down, indicating that the asset remains a stable sector.”

Another clear trend is smaller-footprint stores — not just from more compact formats like Trader Joe’s and Aldi but also from traditional supermarket chains and mass merchants like Walmart and Target, JLL said.

For example, grocer Hy-Vee recently announced that smaller stores of 10,000 square feet will be part of its expansion strategy, and supercenter chain Meijer aims to bring its Bridge Street Market format — about 37,000 square feet in its downtown Grand Rapids, Mich., location — to more cities.

James Cook, director of retail research at Chicago-based JLL, noted that smaller formats give retailers more flexibility in terms of property availability in desired locations, opening up opportunities in population-dense urban neighborhoods as well as mixed-use projects.

“The traditional concept of a grocery store is changing. We’re seeing more smaller boutique brands with specialized inventories,” Cook wrote in JLL’s “Real View” blog earlier this month. “Traditional and niche grocers alike are increasingly considering, and actively leasing, smaller spaces in line with changing consumer food shopping habits.”

But ultimately for retailers, it comes down to giving customers the optimum mix of choice and convenience — from online shopping to grocery delivery and click-and-collect platforms — no matter what the size of the store, according to Cook.

“The grocers that can deliver the right in-store experience, combined with the right online pickup or fulfilment plan,” he said, “those are the ones that will thrive, whether their stores are 15,000 square feet with limited products or take up a footprint four times as large.”

About the Author

Russell Redman

Senior Editor
Supermarket News

Russell Redman has served as senior editor at Supermarket News since April 2018, his second tour with the publication. In his current role, he handles daily news coverage for the SN website and contributes news and features for the print magazine, as well as participates in special projects, podcasts and webinars and attends industry events. Russ joined SN from Racher Press Inc.’s Chain Drug Review and Mass Market Retailers magazines, where he served as desk/online editor for more than nine years, covering the food/drug/mass retail sector. 

Russell Redman’s more than 30 years of experience in journalism span a range of editorial manager, editor, reporter/writer and digital roles at a variety of publications and websites covering a breadth of industries, including retailing, pharmacy/health care, IT, digital home, financial technology, financial services, real estate/commercial property, pro audio/video and film. He started his career in 1989 as a local news reporter and editor, covering community news and politics in Long Island, N.Y. His background also includes an earlier stint at Supermarket News as center store editor and then financial editor in the mid-1990s. Russ holds a B.A. in journalism (minor in political science) from Hofstra University, where he also earned a certificate in digital/social media marketing in November 2016.

Russell Redman’s experience:

Supermarket News - Informa
Senior Editor 
April 2018 - present

Chain Drug Review/Mass Market Retailers - Racher Press
Desk/Online Editor 
Sept. 2008 - March 2018

CRN magazine - CMP Media
Managing Editor
May 2000 - June 2007

Bank Systems & Technology - Miller Freeman
Executive Editor/Managing Editor
Dec. 1996 - May 2000

Supermarket News - Fairchild Publications
Financial Editor/Associate Editor
April 1995 - Dec. 1996 

Shopping Centers Today Magazine - ICSC 
Desk Editor/Assistant Editor
Dec. 1992 - April 1995

Testa Communications
Assistant Editor/Contributing Editor (Music & Sound Retailer, Post, Producer, Sound & Communications and DJ Times magazines)
Jan. 1991 - Dec. 1992 

American Banker/Bond Buyer
Copy Editor
Oct. 1990 - Jan. 1991 

This Week newspaper - Chanry Communications
Reporter/Editor
May 1989 - July 1990

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